Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#94
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#101
Pace72.5#110
Improvement-2.0#269

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#97
First Shot+2.8#96
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#154
Layup/Dunks+2.6#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#123
Freethrows+1.8#60
Improvement-2.1#276

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#99
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#8
Layups/Dunks+1.7#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#237
Freethrows+1.7#66
Improvement+0.1#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 153   @ Montana L 72-74 58%     0 - 1 +1.7 +2.9 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2015 345   Northern Arizona W 101-81 98%     1 - 1 +2.2 +8.2 -8.4
  Nov 19, 2015 12   @ Arizona L 76-88 11%     1 - 2 +7.3 +9.8 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2015 98   UC Irvine W 71-64 51%     2 - 2 +12.6 +3.6 +9.1
  Nov 27, 2015 2   Michigan St. L 67-77 10%     2 - 3 +10.3 +3.0 +7.1
  Nov 29, 2015 12   Arizona L 59-68 16%     2 - 4 +7.4 -9.5 +17.2
  Dec 05, 2015 203   @ Portland W 81-71 71%     3 - 4 +10.1 -1.7 +10.9
  Dec 09, 2015 208   Loyola Marymount W 67-66 86%     4 - 4 -5.0 -8.9 +3.9
  Dec 12, 2015 10   Oregon W 74-72 22%     5 - 4 +16.1 +9.8 +6.4
  Dec 20, 2015 314   Bradley W 90-70 95%     6 - 4 +6.8 +13.0 -7.1
  Dec 30, 2015 235   UC Davis W 64-56 89%     7 - 4 +0.6 -4.3 +5.2
  Jan 02, 2016 142   Colorado St. W 84-80 76%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +2.5 +1.5 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2016 133   @ Utah St. W 76-61 53%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +20.2 +5.3 +15.5
  Jan 09, 2016 102   Fresno St. W 81-70 64%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +13.2 +13.4 +0.2
  Jan 13, 2016 141   @ Nevada W 74-67 55%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +11.7 +4.5 +6.8
  Jan 16, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 53-56 46%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +3.8 -9.0 +12.7
  Jan 20, 2016 248   San Jose St. W 94-69 90%     12 - 5 5 - 1 +17.0 +8.6 +5.3
  Jan 23, 2016 164   @ Wyoming W 81-71 62%     13 - 5 6 - 1 +12.6 +13.8 -0.4
  Jan 27, 2016 115   @ UNLV L 77-87 48%     13 - 6 6 - 2 -3.7 -1.8 -0.4
  Jan 30, 2016 116   New Mexico L 83-88 70%     13 - 7 6 - 3 -4.7 +6.8 -11.4
  Feb 02, 2016 133   Utah St. W 70-67 74%     14 - 7 7 - 3 +2.3 -5.1 +7.5
  Feb 06, 2016 237   @ Air Force L 53-61 77%     14 - 8 7 - 4 -9.7 -18.4 +8.6
  Feb 10, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. L 93-97 2OT 56%     14 - 9 7 - 5 +0.3 +1.8 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2016 164   Wyoming W 94-71 81%     15 - 9 8 - 5 +19.8 +15.7 +3.7
  Feb 17, 2016 116   @ New Mexico L 78-80 49%     15 - 10 8 - 6 +4.1 +4.0 +0.2
  Feb 23, 2016 115   UNLV W 81-69 70%     16 - 10 9 - 6 +12.5 +6.6 +5.2
  Feb 27, 2016 53   @ San Diego St. W 66-63 26%     17 - 10 10 - 6 +15.7 +2.9 +12.7
  Mar 02, 2016 141   Nevada W 76-57 75%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +17.8 +4.3 +12.7
  Mar 05, 2016 248   @ San Jose St. L 63-68 78%     18 - 11 11 - 7 -7.1 -12.8 +6.1
  Mar 10, 2016 142   Colorado St. L 81-88 67%     18 - 12 -5.6 +4.9 -10.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%